UVA COVID-19 Modeling Weekly Update

Key Takeaways

  • The cadence of COVID-19 projections has been reduced to bi-weekly. This is an abbreviated interim report.
  • Case rates remain high, but continue to decline statewide. The reproductive rate is below 1.0 in all of Virginia’s regions.
  • New vaccinations are accruing slowly but steadily. Vaccination rates remain below community immunity levels in all regions.
  • Similar to last year, holiday travel and winter weather could prompt a new surge in cases. Vaccination, including boosters when eligible, is your best protection during the holiday season.
  • Stay safe during the holidays by following CDC guidance.

Weekly Modeling Report.

UVA COVID-19 Model Dashboard.

UVA Biocomplexity Institute Slides.

VDH COVID-19 Surveillance Data Update.