UVA COVID-19 Modeling Weekly Update

Key Takeaways

  • Although plateauing, case rates remain high. Current rates are 5.5 times higher than the mean rates of Summer 2021. Infections are likely much higher due to lower case ascertainment rates.
  • Hospitalizations have grown slowly but consistently for the past few weeks, even as cases have remained relatively stable.
  • According to the CDC’s Nowcast, the BA.5 subvariant now accounts for 4 out of every 5 new cases in the region.
  • A total of 55 localities are now at High community levels. At these levels, the CDC recommends masking in public indoor places for all residents. A further 60 are at Medium community levels. High risk individuals in these communities should also consider masking.

Weekly Modeling Report.

UVA COVID-19 Model Dashboard.

UVA Biocomplexity Institute Slides.

VDH COVID-19 Surveillance Data Update.

This page updates weekly on Friday by 5:00 PM.