UVA COVID-19 Modeling Weekly Update

Key Takeaways

  • Transmission rates are below 1.0 in all areas of Virginia, and 22 of 35 health districts have declining trajectories.
  • Vaccination rates and vaccine acceptance vary widely by region. Some regions are likely to reach community immunity levels in the next few months, while others may take much longer.
  • There is growing uncertainty in short term forecasts, indicating that variants and pandemic fatigue continue to pose significant risk.


Full Weekly Report.

UVA COVID-19 Model Dashboard.

UVA Biocomplexity Institute Slides.

RAND Corporation Situation & Research Update.