UVA COVID-19 Modeling Weekly Update

Key Takeaways

  • 24 health districts show a declining case trajectory this week, while six health districts are now in slow growth.
  • Wide regional variation in case projections persists, driven in large part by differences in vaccine acceptance rates. High vaccine acceptance in the Northern Region leads to optimistic projections in those health districts.
  • National projections mirror those seen in Virginia, with faster declines in case rates occurring in scenarios with high vaccination rates.


Full Weekly Report.

UVA COVID-19 Model Dashboard.

UVA Biocomplexity Institute Slides.

RAND Corporation Situation & Research Update.