UVA COVID-19 Modeling Weekly Update

Key Takeaways

  • The Delta variant is now dominant and growing in Virginia, creating increased risk for unvaccinated individuals and communities with low vaccination rates.
  • First dose vaccinations have plateaued since mid-June but remain consistent with preliminary data suggesting a slight increase at the end of July.
  • Cases have ceased their decline in most health districts, and returned to “slow growth” in many. The statewide transmission rate is above 1.0, as are the transmission rates in each region.

Weekly Modeling Report.

UVA COVID-19 Model Dashboard.

UVA Biocomplexity Institute Slides.

VDH COVID-19 Surveillance Data Update.