- Models are designed to project what could happen based on current trends but do not forecast what will happen. Behavioral responses drive changes in current trends.
- The statewide reproduction rate jumped back above 1.0, and all regions are above 1.0. Last week’s statewide rate was revised upward, and has been above 1.0 since late September.
- Weekly incidence in Virginia (15/100K) is rising. Nationally, incidence continues to increase (27/100K), particularly in the Midwest states.
- National and state trends are concerning as we enter the holiday season, heralding colder weather and increased travel.
UVA Biocomplexity Institute Slides.