UVA COVID-19 Modeling Weekly Update

Key Takeaways

  • Case rates nationally and in Virginia appear to have plateaued above peaks experienced last summer. Daily case rates in Virginia average 16 per 100k , compared to a peak of 13 per 100k during summer 2020.
  • Virginia has surpassed its goal of 50,000 vaccine doses administered per day. Including currently vaccinated, almost 80% of Virginians are either already vaccinated, or will definitely or probably receive a vaccine when available.
  • Barring severe disruptions to vaccine rollout or variants escaping vaccines, pandemic fatigue and reduced social distancing and mask usage remain the main threat to extending the pandemic.

Full Weekly Report.

UVA COVID-19 Model Dashboard.

UVA Biocomplexity Institute Slides.

RAND Corporation Situation & Research Update.