- Overall case rate growth has slowed, but trends are mixed across the Commonwealth, with much of the Southwest still in “Surge”.
- Virginia may be “cresting the peak” of this Delta wave, but case-rates and community transmission remain quite high.
- Though models forecast an imminent peak, followed by a slow decline in cases, masking and social distancing are still the best option for limiting short-term impacts on your community.
- Models also suggest that if transmission patterns mirror those of Fall and Winter 2020, we may see a larger peak in January.
- Vaccines remain the most effective way to reduce cases in the long-term, as well as protect against hospitalization and death.
UVA Biocomplexity Institute Slides.