- Statewide, the number of confirmed cases had begun to decline, and 25 local health districts are in declining or plateau trajectories. Transmission rates have also dropped statewide and in all regions.
- Ten local health districts remain in growth trajectories, including 2 in surge trajectories.
- Under the current course, the model projects cases have already peaked, however scenarios show there is still potential for a large holiday surge similar to the one experienced last year.
Interested in learn more about how VDH is working with partners to improve foresight into the COVID-19 pandemic?
Join us on October 5 at 3PM for an open panel discussion and Q&A with Virginia Department of Health officials and University of Virginia Biocomplexity Institute researchers, presented by Metaculus.
UVA Biocomplexity Institute Slides.