UVA COVID-19 Model: Weekly Update

Key Takeaways

  • Public health restrictions paused the epidemic in Virginia and bought time
  • Data suggests social distancing is already relaxing
  • Statewide, the reproduction rate dropped below 1.0 on May 15. It averaged 2.2 prior to March 15
  • Days from onset to diagnosis have dropped ~30% in recent weeks, from 6.8 April to 4.7 in early May
    • This suggests increased testing is improving detection

Click here to see the full report.

Click here to explore the model results for your community.

Click here to see the slides provided by the team at the UVA Biocomplexity Institute.