UVA COVID-19 Model: Weekly Update

Key Takeaways

  • Public health restrictions paused the epidemic in Virginia and bought time
  • Data suggests social distancing is already relaxing
  • Statewide, the reproduction rate dropped below 1.0 on May 10. It averaged 2.2 prior to March 15
  • Early evidence suggests rebound may be less intense than feared. Intensity depends on:
    • “The new normal”
    • Effectiveness of test/trace/isolate

Click here to see the full report.

Click here to explore the model results for your community.