UVA COVID-19 Model: Weekly Update

Key Takeaways

  • Public health restrictions paused the epidemic in Virginia and bought time
  • Data suggests social distancing is already relaxing
  • Coincided with an uptick in growth (3rd week)
  • This is difficult to disentangle from testing, however.
  • Rebound is likely to occur. Intensity depends on:
    • “The new normal”
    • Effectiveness of test/trace/isolate

Click here to see the full report.

Click here to explore the model results for your community.