UVA COVID-19 Model Weekly Update

Key Takeaways

  • Eight health districts in the Hampton Roads area, along with Thomas Jefferson and Pittsylvania-Danville districts, are experiencing a surge in cases.
  • Model improved to more quickly identify local surges and incorporate these into projections, though uncertainty in intensity and duration remains.
  • The reproduction rate is above 1.0 statewide and in two of six HPP regions. It is near 2.0 in the Eastern HPP.
  • So far, projections do not anticipate hospitalizations will exceed capacity through August, however it is crucial to mitigate surges.

Click here to see the full report.

Click here to explore the model results for your community.

Click here to see the slides provided by the team at the UVA Biocomplexity Institute.