UVA COVID-19 Model Weekly Update

Key Takeaways

  • Twelve health districts are experiencing surges, including eight in the Hampton Roads area.
  • On current course, Virginia is projected to have ~15,000 weekly cases, and growing, by early September
  • On July 11, the reproduction rate was above 1.0 statewide and in four of six HPP regions.
  • So far, projections do not anticipate hospitalizations will exceed capacity through August, however it is crucial to mitigate surges.
  • Social distancing appears to be waning, but infection control and other mitigation strategies are suppressing spread.

Click here to see the full report.

Click here to explore the model results for your community.

Click here to see the slides provided by the team at the UVA Biocomplexity Institute.