UVA COVID-19 Model Weekly Update

Key Takeaways

  • Models are designed to project what could happen based on current trends but do not forecast of what will happen. Behavioral responses drive changes in current trends. This is increasingly important as we enter the fall season.
  • Growth in cases has plateaued overall. However, 2 health districts are currently in a surge trajectory and an additional 10 are showing slow growth.
  • Students returning to college and university campuses appear to be driving surges in some areas.
  • The statewide reproduction rate is above 1.0 for a second week. The Northwest region saw a significant rise, to 1.648.

Full Weekly Report.

UVA COVID-19 Model Dashboard.

UVA Biocomplexity Institute Slides.

RAND Corporation Situation & Research Update.