- Models are designed to project what could happen based on current trends but do not forecast what will happen. Behavioral responses drive changes in current trends.
- Weekly cases declined in Virginia during a time when case rates increased nationwide. The case rate in Virginia (11.6/100K) is now below the national average (14/100K).
- 13 health districts are following a declining case trajectory, 6 have plateaued, and 13 show a slow growth. Three health districts are now in surge (New River, Western Tidewater, and Three Rivers)
- The reproduction number remains below 1.0 in all six health planning regions for the second week in a row.
UVA Biocomplexity Institute Slides.