- Statewide case-rates are up slightly from last week but remain low. Test positivity and hospitalizations are also at near historic lows.
- The basic reproduction number (Rₑ) is now slightly above one. This implies that case rates may have “bottomed out”.
- The BA.2 variant is now dominant across the USA, and accounts for nearly 85% of all new cases in Virginia.
- Nine districts are now showing slow growth, with a further six in plateau. Washington, DC has also plateaued, and New York state is showing slow growth. Neighboring states are still in decline.
- Wastewater surveillance is detecting early signs of case growth.
- Models suggest that a surge is possible in the coming months. This potential wave may exceed case-rates seen during the Delta surge. However, we do not expect as many hospitalizations or deaths.
UVA Biocomplexity Institute Slides.
VDH COVID-19 Surveillance Data Update.
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