- Cases have increased from recent lows, nationally and in several regions of Virginia.
- Omicron’s BA.2 subvariant is dominant in Virginia and nationally, while the BA.2.12.1 subvariant is beginning to make inroads, particularly in New York and the Northeast.
- Behavior changes and Omicron’s subvariants may drive a summer surge. The model suggests case and hospitalization peaks somewhere between levels seen during the Delta and Omicron waves.
- Projected deaths are much lower than previous waves, as Virginia’s immunity profile continues to improve due to vaccinations, boosters and previous infections, and as treatments become available.
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