Key Takeaways
- As of February 2, the CDC listed 16 Virginian localities, with a total 260k residents, as having “High” COVID19 community levels. A further 62 locales, with 3 million residents, were at “Medium” community levels.
- Cases and hospital admissions continue to decline from early January peaks. 24 of 35 health districts are in declining trajectories and 6 are in slow growth. However, 29 were in declining trajectories last week, with just one in slow growth.
- Short-term models forecast stable hospital admission levels over the next few weeks.
- XBB.1.5 has quickly become dominant in HHS Region 3, now representing 73% of sequenced cases. This has not been accompanied with case increases, however.
- Vaccine administrations continue to decline, with the 7-day average of daily administrations below 5,000 since mid-January.
- So far, COVID-19 has been much milder than in previous winters. Nevertheless, COVID-19 hospital admissions have far exceeded those from flu, with much higher peaks and high sustained admission rates.
UVA Biocomplexity Institute Slides.
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