Category: Modeling

Key Takeaways

• COVID-19 metrics suggest an continuing plateau. Models suggest hospitalization rates will remain unchanged until December.
• RSV growth may be easing slightly in the Southeastern states, but is still rising in Virginia. In 2022, Virginia’s RSV peak arrived about a month after the Southeast.
• Flu activity remains low in most of Virginia. Activity is moderate in Northern Virginia.
• Wildfires continue to impact Virginia, causing hazardous air quality and closing a portion of the Blue Ridge Parkway. Dry conditions are also blamed for a water shortage emergency in the town of Appalachia.
• Due to the holiday, we will not publish a Situation Update next week.

VDH OEP Weekly Situation Update.

UVA Biocomplexity Institute Slides.

VDH Surveillance Data Update.

This page updates weekly on Friday by 5:00 PM.

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The VDH OEP Weekly Situation Update is produced by the VDH Office of Emergency Preparedness. This update covers ongoing or potential public health and emergency preparedness issues, including COVID-19. This product is intended to enhance situational awareness among the public health, healthcare, and emergency management communities. Some items covered may pose little or no threat to the public at large. These items are included for situational awareness only and do not represent an endorsement of the source or information therein.

Key Takeaways

• The Governor’s Office declared a state of emergency in response to wildfires and dry conditions in Virginia. The wildfire smoke is affecting air quality across much of the Commonwealth. Virginia’s fall wildfire season ends November 30.
• COVID-19 surveillance continues to suggest a plateau in overall rates. Hospitalization rates remain low. Forecasts suggest they will remain static until December.
• RSV activity continues to increase steadily in the American southeast. Detection rates are growing more slowly in Virginia.
• Despite efforts to bolster production, the domestic supply of PPE has not yet caught up to demand.

VDH OEP Weekly Situation Update.

VDH Surveillance Data Update.

This page updates weekly on Friday by 5:00 PM.

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The VDH OEP Weekly Situation Update is produced by the VDH Office of Emergency Preparedness. This update covers ongoing or potential public health and emergency preparedness issues, including COVID-19. This product is intended to enhance situational awareness among the public health, healthcare, and emergency management communities. Some items covered may pose little or no threat to the public at large. These items are included for situational awareness only and do not represent an endorsement of the source or information therein.

Key Takeaways

• COVID-19 surveillance and forecasts suggest a plateau in activity and hospital admissions. Hospital admissions and occupancy are at ‘low’ levels.
• Influenza activity has increased, and is now at ‘low’ activity levels statewide. Activity is at ‘moderate’ levels in Northern Virginia, while Virginia’s other four regions are at ‘low’ levels.
• The CDC suggests that the RSV season has begun, while access to new treatments remains limited.
• The FBI issued new warnings about an increased terror threats related to the Israel – Palestine conflict, while reports of bias incidents continue.
• Labor actions health worker shortages continue to affect the health sector.

VDH OEP Weekly Situation Update.

VDH Surveillance Data Update.

This page updates weekly on Friday by 5:00 PM.

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The VDH OEP Weekly Situation Update is produced by the VDH Office of Emergency Preparedness. This update covers ongoing or potential public health and emergency preparedness issues, including COVID-19. This product is intended to enhance situational awareness among the public health, healthcare, and emergency management communities. Some items covered may pose little or no threat to the public at large. These items are included for situational awareness only and do not represent an endorsement of the source or information therein.

Key Takeaways

• COVID-19 surveillance and forecasts suggest a plateau in activity and hospital admissions.
• Influenza activity has increased, and is now at ‘low’ activity levels in all regions of Virginia. However, statewide activity is minimal.
• RSV rates continue growing slowly in Virginia. Overall rates remain low, but RSV has surged in the Southeastern states.
• The CDC issued an alert regarding shortages of the RSV monoclonal antibody Nirsevimab. Shortages of influenza antivirals have also been reported.
• 2023 is shaping up to be a record-shattering year for Billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in the US.

VDH OEP Weekly Situation Update.

VDH Surveillance Data Update.

This page updates weekly on Friday by 5:00 PM.

---

The VDH OEP Weekly Situation Update is produced by the VDH Office of Emergency Preparedness. This update covers ongoing or potential public health and emergency preparedness issues, including COVID-19. This product is intended to enhance situational awareness among the public health, healthcare, and emergency management communities. Some items covered may pose little or no threat to the public at large. These items are included for situational awareness only and do not represent an endorsement of the source or information therein.

Key Takeaways

• COVID-19 surveillance indicates a slow sustained decline. COVID-like illness visits, and emergency department (ED) diagnoses, are now at rates not seen since late August.
• COVID-19 hospital admissions rates have also decreased. Models suggest this trend will continue into November.
• RSV rates continue a slow upward tick in Virginia. ED diagnoses and RSV detections have doubled since September. Overall rates are still low, but RSV has surged in the Southeastern states.
• Federal security agencies noted an increased risk of attacks associated with the conflict in the middle east, emphasizing potential lone wolf attacks on Jewish, Muslim, and Arab communities. Sometimes rowdy protests related to the conflict have occurred nationally.

VDH OEP Weekly Situation Update.

VDH Surveillance Data Update.

This page updates weekly on Friday by 5:00 PM.

---

The VDH OEP Weekly Situation Update is produced by the VDH Office of Emergency Preparedness. This update covers ongoing or potential public health and emergency preparedness issues, including COVID-19. This product is intended to enhance situational awareness among the public health, healthcare, and emergency management communities. Some items covered may pose little or no threat to the public at large. These items are included for situational awareness only and do not represent an endorsement of the source or information therein.