NOTE: VDH is currently completing a report on the COVID-19 modeling and projection project. We would appreciate it if you would complete this quick survey to provide feedback and insight on how this information is used.
Key Takeaways
- The Commonwealth continues to experience rapid declines in COVID-19 case rates and hospitalizations.
- Of the 35 health districts in Virginia, 32 are currently in decline. Slow growth is being reported in the Central Virginia, Roanoke City, and West Piedmont districts, but from low case levels.
- Neighboring states are experiencing similar declines. Southern West Virginia and eastern Kentucky are the only nearby hot spots.
- The CDC’s Nowcast estimates the BA.2 subvariant accounts for about 30% of new cases in the region, up from about 20% last week. It is expected to become dominant by mid-April.
- Most European nations have crested the BA.2 surge. However, the subvariant is causing a major surge of hospitalizations in England and Ireland. VDH continues to monitor early-warning systems closely.
- Note that this is an interim report. Models will next be run on 2022-03-30 for release the following Friday.
UVA Biocomplexity Institute Slides.
VDH COVID-19 Surveillance Data Update.
This page updates weekly on Friday at 1:00 PM.