Category: Foresight

Key Takeaways

• • • Respiratory disease is minimal in Virginia, but gastrointestinal illness remains elevated.
    • HeatRisk is moderate for parts of Virginia on Sat, but will diminish over the rest of the week. Fire conditions and drought will persist across the state.
    • The first 3 months of 2026 were the hottest on record for the continental US.
    • Cyberactivity and shortages related to the Mideast conflict continue, but with limited impact so far.

OEP Weekly Situation Update.

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Key Takeaways

• • • Respiratory disease is minimal in Virginia, but gastrointestinal illness remains elevated.
    • Forecasters expect a ‘somewhat below-normal’ Atlantic hurricane season in 2026.
    • Supply chain disruptions from the Mideast conflict are beginning to impact the US.
    • El Niño conditions are likely to emerge over the summer, increasing the risk of heat waves over the US South.

OEP Weekly Situation Update.

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Key Takeaways

• • • Respiratory disease season in Virginia seems to be winding down, but gastrointestinal illness remains elevated.
    • South Carolina’s measles outbreak will end Apr 26 if no new cases are reported.
    • The CDC has temporarily paused testing for scores of pathogens.
    • Though no major incidents have occurred, threats related to the ongoing Mideast conflict remain elevated.

OEP Weekly Situation Update.

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Key Takeaways

• • • VDH reported 3 new measles cases. No additional exposure sites were reported.
    • A heat dome in the US Southwest is heading eastward.
    • The US Fire Preparedness Level increased to Level 2. Most of the country, including Virginia, faces elevated wildfire risk over the next week.
    • Respiratory disease season in Virginia seems to be winding down, but gastrointestinal illness remains elevated.

OEP Weekly Situation Update.

This page updates weekly on Friday by 5:00 PM.

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Key Takeaways

• • • VDH lifted its remaining Recreational Water Advisory on the Potomac river.
    • Tornado season has had an early start in the US, including an ESF-0 that caused minor damage in Martinsville, VA.
    • Crime statistics continue to show a decline, but victimization surveys add caveats to that trend.
    • Though there is no evidence of links, bomb threats and drone sightings extend anxieties about domestic impacts of the Mideast conflict.

OEP Weekly Situation Update.

This page updates weekly on Friday by 5:00 PM.

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Key Takeaways

• • • Virginia reported 4 new measles cases in the past week, all in Southwest Virginia.
    • Several suspected lone-wolf terror attacks have occurred in the past couple of weeks. Federal officials have issued warnings about potential security threats, though no specific threats have been identified.
    • Virginia joined the Northeast Public Health Collaborative.

OEP Weekly Situation Update.

This page updates weekly on Friday by 5:00 PM.

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Key Takeaways

• • • Mideast conflict is elevating security concerns. The Dept of Homeland Security notes that large-scale attacks are unlikely.
    • Respiratory illness is stable after ticking up last week. Gastrointestinal illness remains above threshold in all Virginia regions.
    • VDH reported a potential measles exposure in Centra Lynchburg General Hospital Emergency Department on Mar 2.
    • VDH partially lifted its recreational water advisory on the Potomac.

OEP Weekly Situation Update.

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Key Takeaways

• • • Respiratory disease activity increased in Virginia last week, driven by increased flu activity among 5-17 year-olds.
    • 2026 US measles cases surpassed 1,000.
    • Gastrointestinal illness activity is trending up in Virginia, and is above threshold statewide and in all Virginia regions.
    • 2025 was among the three warmest years on record, with temperatures approaching the 1.5°C IPCC warming threshold.

OEP Weekly Situation Update.

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Key Takeaways

• • • Virginia reported its 8th, 9th and 10th measles cases of 2026.
    • Despite slowing, the SC measles outbreak continues to spread, and outbreaks in other states are raising concerns.
    • VDH reaffirmed its commitment to vaccines, eschewing new federal recommendations.
    • Preliminary estimates suggest fatal drug overdoses declined in Virginia for the fourth straight year.

OEP Weekly Situation Update.

This page updates weekly on Friday by 5:00 PM.

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Key Takeaways

• • • Bitter cold is forecast across Virginia this weekend. Much of the state will experience high winds.
    • Virginia reported its 5th measles case of 2026, with potential exposure sites in Northern Virginia.
    • The US is experiencing a severe blood shortage following weeks of winter weather.
    • Geopolitical and societal risks threaten global stability in the short-term. Environmental and technological threats pose more far-reaching risks in the long-term.

OEP Weekly Situation Update.

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